Category Archives: Economics Analysis

Reviewer2 – Economics Analysis

Monopolistic Competition
Definition: A market structure where firms can freely enter or exit, each producing a differentiated version of a product. Although products are close substitutes, they are not perfect substitutes, allowing each firm some degree of market power.

Characteristics:

  • Differentiated products that are close, but not perfect, substitutes.
  • Free entry and exit, ensuring that in the long run, economic profits tend to zero.

Short-Run Dynamics:

  • Firms face a downward-sloping demand curve, granting them monopoly power over their specific product variant.
  • Price (P) exceeds Marginal Cost (MC), and firms may earn positive economic profits if Price also exceeds Average Cost (AC).

Long-Run Equilibrium:

  • Entry of new firms erodes profits. Eventually, P = AC, and economic profits dissipate, even though P > MC.
  • The result is a deadweight loss and inefficiency compared to perfect competition, but consumers benefit from greater product variety.

Comparison with Perfect Competition:

  • Perfect Competition: P = MC, no deadweight loss.
  • Monopolistic Competition: P > MC, creating some inefficiency. However, the gain in product diversity partially offsets this inefficiency.


Definition: A market structure dominated by a few large firms, where entry barriers limit competition. Firms’ decisions are interdependent and strategic.

Characteristics:

  • A few firms produce most or all output.
  • Products may be either homogeneous or differentiated.
  • Barriers to entry prevent new firms from entering easily.

Examples: Automobiles, steel, aluminum, petrochemicals, electrical equipment, computers.

Equilibrium in Oligopoly:

  • Firms set prices or outputs while considering their rivals’ potential responses.
  • Nash Equilibrium: Each firm chooses its best strategy given the strategies of others. No firm can profit by unilaterally changing its own decision.

Oligopoly Models:

  1. Cournot Model:
    • Firms produce a homogeneous product and choose output simultaneously.
    • Each firm’s output decision depends on its rivals’ output (the reaction curve).
    • The Cournot equilibrium is reached when each firm’s output choice is optimal, given the other firms’ outputs.
  2. Stackelberg Model:
    • One firm (the leader) chooses output first, and the others (followers) choose afterward.
    • The leader leverages its first-mover advantage to constrain the followers’ choices and secure higher profits.
  3. Bertrand Model:
    • Firms choose prices simultaneously, assuming rivals’ prices are fixed.
    • With homogeneous products, even a slight undercut in price can capture the entire market, leading often to outcomes similar to perfect competition (P = MC).

Game Theory and Oligopoly:

  • Prisoners’ Dilemma: Although all firms would be better off colluding to raise profits, each faces an incentive to undercut, leading to more competitive outcomes and lower profits.

Collusion and Price Rigidity:

  • Cartels: Groups of firms that explicitly agree on prices and outputs. Cartels are more stable when demand is inelastic and the cartel controls most supply. However, most cartels fail over time due to cheating, entry, and changing market conditions.
  • Price Leadership: A form of implicit collusion where one firm sets a price and others follow.
  • Price Rigidity: Firms resist changing prices, fearing that any deviation may trigger a price war.

Demand for Domestic Goods:
In an open economy, demand for domestic goods equals domestic demand (C + I + G) minus imports plus exports.

Increase in Domestic Demand:

  • In an open economy, an increase in domestic demand raises output by less than in a closed economy because some demand spills over onto imports.
  • This reduces the positive impact on domestic output and worsens the trade balance.

Increase in Foreign Demand:

  • Higher foreign demand (increased exports) boosts domestic output and improves the trade balance.
  • Countries may prefer waiting for foreign demand to recover from recessions rather than boosting domestic demand.

The Need for Coordination:

  • In global recessions, coordination among countries can lead to collective recovery. Without it, countries may wait for others to stimulate demand.

Marshall-Lerner Condition:

  • A real depreciation (a fall in the relative price of domestic goods) eventually increases net exports. In the short run, the trade balance may worsen before improving (the J-curve effect).

Equilibrium Condition in the Goods Market:

  • The condition for equilibrium can also be written as: (Saving – Investment) = Trade Balance.
  • A trade surplus indicates that saving exceeds investment, while a trade deficit implies that investment exceeds saving.

Definition: Government’s choice of taxes and spending.

Fiscal Expansion:

  • Increasing government spending or cutting taxes raises the budget deficit and stimulates output in the short run.

Fiscal Contraction (Consolidation):

  • Cutting government spending or increasing taxes reduces the budget deficit, aiming for long-term sustainability.

Budget Cycle:

  1. Preparation: Executive branch (e.g., Department of Budget and Management).
  2. Authorization: Legislative branch (Congress).
  3. Execution: Executive agencies (e.g., Department of Public Works and Highways).
  4. Accountability: Auditing agency (Commission on Audit).

Primary Deficit:

  • Primary Deficit = Government Spending (G) – Taxes (T).
  • Persistent deficits increase government debt, which eventually requires tax hikes.

Inevitable Tax Increases:

  • A reduction in current taxes necessitates higher future taxes, especially if interest rates are high or the delay is long.

Debt Stabilization:

  • To stabilize debt, eliminate the deficit and achieve a primary surplus equal to interest payments on existing debt.

Evolution of the Debt-to-GDP Ratio:

  • Depends on interest rates, growth rates, initial debt ratio, and the primary surplus.

Ricardian Equivalence Proposition:

  • In theory, larger deficits are offset by private saving, leaving demand and output unchanged.
  • In practice, it rarely holds: large deficits tend to boost short-run output but reduce long-run capital accumulation and growth.

Cyclically Adjusted Deficit:

  • Measures what the deficit would be under current policies if the economy were at potential output.
  • Suggests running deficits during recessions and surpluses during booms.

Deficits During Wars:

  • Often justified due to extreme spending needs, shifting some costs to future generations.

High Debt Ratios:

  • Increase the perceived risk of default and force higher interest rates, possibly triggering a “debt explosion.”

Debt Explosion:

  • A vicious cycle where growing debt and higher interest costs lead to default or money financing.

Money Finance:

  • Forcing the central bank to buy government bonds with newly created money risks hyperinflation and severe economic disruption.

Budget Process and Recurrent Costs:

  • Government budgets combine capital (infrastructure, development) and current (maintenance, wages) expenditures.
  • In developing countries, neglecting recurrent costs can waste capital investments.

Taxation in Developing Countries:

  • Heavy reliance on indirect taxes (sales, VAT, customs) due to administrative complexity in collecting income and capital gains taxes.
  • Tax reform focuses on simplifying tax systems and introducing VAT for better compliance.

Tax Code Complexity:

  • Complex codes increase corruption and distort the economy.
  • Simpler codes reduce distortions and administrative burdens.

Progressive Taxation:

  • Taxes should reflect ability to pay; however, in developing countries, effective progressive taxation is challenging.
  • Measures like exempting basic goods from sales taxes help maintain equity.

Incidence of Taxes:

  • Intended progressive taxes can become regressive in practice.
  • Tax reforms should ensure that the burden of taxation aligns more closely with ability to pay.

Functions of Fiscal Policy:

  1. Allocation: Provision of public goods and services.
  2. Distribution: Influencing the distribution of income and wealth.
  3. Stabilization: Achieving stable employment, stable prices, and sustained economic growth.

Money Supply:

  • The stock of liquid assets in the economy. It is defined in progressively broader measures (M1, M2, M3).

Inflation as a Tax:

  • Moderate inflation can raise government revenue and investment without harming growth.
  • High inflation discourages holding liquid assets, hindering financial development and economic growth.

Exchange Rate Systems and Inflation:

  • Under fixed exchange rates, global inflation passes directly into the domestic economy.
  • Under floating exchange rates, domestic inflation is driven by local monetary conditions.

Controlling Inflation:

  • Open-market operations and interest rate policies are more efficient methods of controlling inflation but are harder to implement in less developed financial systems.
  • Credit ceilings and reserve requirements are second-best tools when more refined methods are unavailable.

Financial Panics:

  • Despite regulatory improvements, financial crises remain possible, as seen in the late 1990s and 2007–09 episodes.

Real Interest Rate:

  • The nominal interest rate adjusted for inflation. A positive real interest rate encourages holding liquid assets, promoting financial deepening and growth.

Financial Institutions:

  • As economies grow, they require a range of institutions (stock and bond markets, insurance companies, development banks) to support long-term financing.

Informal Financial Markets:

  • Serve those with limited resources but often charge very high interest rates.

Microfinance:

  • Offers more formal, affordable credit options to underserved communities. Its overall long-term impact on poverty reduction remains debated.

Determinants of Domestic Demand:

  • In an open economy, domestic demand depends on both the interest rate and the exchange rate.
  • Lower interest rates and currency depreciation both tend to increase domestic demand.

Interest Parity Condition:

  • The domestic interest rate equals the foreign interest rate plus the expected depreciation of the domestic currency.
  • This links domestic monetary conditions to external factors.

Exchange Rate Adjustments:

  • An increase in the domestic interest rate typically appreciates the currency.
  • A decrease in the domestic interest rate typically depreciates the currency.

Exchange Rate Regimes:

  • Flexible (Floating) Exchange Rate: The value of the currency fluctuates with market conditions, giving policymakers more control over monetary policy but less exchange rate stability.
  • Fixed Exchange Rate: The currency is pegged to another currency or basket of currencies. While this provides stability, it requires the domestic interest rate to match the foreign interest rate, reducing the effectiveness of independent monetary policy.

Under Fixed Exchange Rates:

  • Monetary policy freedom is limited. The central bank must align interest rates with foreign rates.
  • Fiscal policy becomes more effective because monetary policy must accommodate fiscal changes to maintain the fixed exchange rate.

Definition:

  • Central bank decisions on money supply and interest rates.

Monetary Expansion:

  • Increasing the money supply lowers interest rates, stimulating investment and output.

Monetary Contraction (Tightening):

  • Decreasing the money supply raises interest rates, cooling down inflation and reducing output growth.

Money and Its Functions:

  • Money serves as a medium of exchange, unit of account, store of value, and standard of deferred payment.

Measures of Money Supply:

  • M1: Currency, traveler’s checks, and checkable deposits.
  • M2: M1 plus savings deposits, money market funds, and time deposits.
  • M3: A broader measure including additional liquid assets.

Neutrality of Money:

  • In the long run, changes in nominal money supply affect only the price level, not real output or the interest rate.

Inflation:

  • Persistent increases in the general price level.
  • Historically, economists focused on money growth targeting, but the weak correlation with inflation led to inflation targeting regimes.

Inflation Targeting and the Taylor Rule:

  • Central banks now target a low, stable inflation rate (often around 2%).
  • The Taylor Rule guides policymakers by adjusting the nominal interest rate in response to deviations in inflation and unemployment from their targets.

Natural Rate of Unemployment and the Phillips Curve:

  • The natural rate is where inflation is stable.
  • The Phillips Curve shows the relationship between inflation and unemployment. Initially seen as a direct trade-off, it’s now understood that only unexpected changes in inflation affect unemployment.

Optimal Rate of Inflation:

  • Moderate positive inflation (around 2%) is widely considered optimal to avoid the zero lower bound and provide flexibility in monetary policy.

Unconventional Monetary Policy:

  • When interest rates approach zero, central banks use quantitative easing and other tools.
  • The future challenge is determining when and how to shrink central bank balance sheets and whether these tools should be standard practice.

Macroprudential Tools:

  • Regulators employ measures to limit credit bubbles, control systemic risk, and ensure financial stability.
  • Stable inflation alone is not sufficient for overall macroeconomic stability.

Finals Reviewer: Economics Analysis


Monopolistic Competition

  • Definition: A market in which firms can enter freely, each producing its own brand or version of a differentiated product.
  • Characteristics:
    1. Differentiated products that are highly substitutable for one another but not perfect substitutes.
    2. Free entry and exit.
Short Run
  • The firm faces a downward-sloping demand curve and has monopoly power.
  • Price (P) > Marginal Cost (MC), and the firm earns profits (P > Average Cost (AC)).
Long Run
  • In equilibrium, P = AC, resulting in zero profit despite monopoly power.
Comparison with Perfect Competition
  • Perfect competition: P = MC.
  • Monopolistic competition: P > MC, leading to deadweight loss and inefficiency.
  • Gains from product diversity offset inefficiencies.
Oligopoly
  • Definition: A market in which only a few firms compete with one another, and entry by new firms is impeded.
  • Characteristics:
    • Products may or may not be differentiated.
    • A few firms account for most or all total production.
    • Barriers to entry restrict new firms.
  • Examples: Automobiles, steel, aluminum, petrochemicals, electrical equipment, and computers.
Equilibrium
  • Firms set prices or outputs based on strategic considerations of competitors’ behavior.
  • Nash Equilibrium: A strategy set where each firm maximizes profit, considering competitors’ actions.
Models in Oligopoly
  1. Cournot Model:
    • Firms produce a homogeneous good.
    • Each firm treats competitors’ output as fixed and decides its production simultaneously.
    • Reaction Curve: Shows profit-maximizing output based on competitors’ output.
    • Cournot Equilibrium: Each firm correctly predicts competitors’ output and adjusts production accordingly.
  2. Stackelberg Model:
    • One firm sets output first (leader), and others follow (followers).
    • The leader’s advantage is due to announcing output first, constraining followers’ choices.
  3. Bertrand Model:
    • Firms produce a homogeneous good and decide prices simultaneously, treating competitors’ prices as fixed.
Game Theory in Oligopoly
  • Prisoners’ Dilemma:
    • Firms prefer collusion for higher profits but face incentives to undercut each other.
    • Result: Firms often compete, leading to lower profits.
Collusion and Price Rigidity
  1. Cartel:
    • Producers collude explicitly on prices and outputs.
    • Successful only if demand is inelastic and cartel controls most supply.
    • Most cartels fail due to market conditions.
  2. Price Leadership:
    • A form of implicit collusion where one firm sets the price, and others follow.
  3. Price Rigidity:
    • Firms resist price changes, fearing price wars, even with cost or demand shifts.
Demand for Domestic Goods
  • Definition: In an open economy, the demand for domestic goods is equal to the domestic demand for goods (C + I + G) minus the value of imports (in terms of domestic goods), plus exports.
An Increase in Domestic Demand
  • Definition: In an open economy, an increase in domestic demand leads to a smaller increase in output than it would in a closed economy because some of the additional demand falls on imports.
  • Impact: This also leads to a deterioration of the trade balance.
An Increase in Foreign Demand
  • Definition: An increase in foreign demand leads, as a result of increased exports, to both an increase in domestic output and an improvement in the trade balance.
Waiting for Increases in Foreign Demand
  • Definition: Increases in foreign demand improve the trade balance, while increases in domestic demand worsen it. Therefore, countries may be tempted to wait for increases in foreign demand to recover from a recession.
  • Note: Coordination among countries in recession can help them recover collectively.
Marshall-Lerner Condition
  • Definition: A real depreciation leads to an increase in net exports.
Real Depreciation
  • Definition: A decrease in the relative price of domestic goods in terms of foreign goods.
  • Effects:
    • It represents an increase in the real exchange rate.
    • Initially leads to a deterioration of the trade balance and later to an improvement (known as the J-curve).
Equilibrium Condition in the Goods Market
  • Definition: The equilibrium condition in the goods market can be rewritten as the condition that saving (public and private) minus investment must be equal to the trade balance.
  • Implications:
    • A trade surplus corresponds to an excess of saving over investment.
    • A trade deficit corresponds to an excess of investment over saving.
  • Definition: A government’s choice of taxes and spending.
Fiscal Expansion
  • Definition: An increase in government spending or a decrease in taxation, leading to an increase in the budget deficit.

Fiscal Contraction (Fiscal Consolidation)

  • Definition: A policy aimed at reducing the budget deficit through a decrease in government spending or an increase in taxation.
Budget Cycle
  • Stages and Responsibilities:
    • Preparation: Executive (e.g., DBM)
    • Authorization: Legislative (Congress)
    • Execution: Executive (e.g., DPWH)
    • Accountability: Commission on Audit (COA)
Primary Deficit
  • Definition: The government budget constraint gives the evolution of government debt as a function of spending and taxes.
  • Formula: Primary deficit = Government Spending (G) – Taxes (T)
Inevitable Increase in Taxes
  • Key Points:
    • A decrease in taxes must eventually be offset by future tax increases.
    • Longer delays or higher interest rates increase the required tax hike.
Debt Stabilization
  • Requirement: To stabilize debt, the government must eliminate the deficit.
  • Condition: Achieving a primary surplus equal to the interest payments on existing debt.
Evolution of Debt-to-GDP Ratio
  • Determinants:
    1. Interest rate
    2. Growth rate
    3. Initial debt ratio
    4. Primary surplus
Ricardian Equivalence Proposition
  • Definition: Larger deficits are offset by an equal increase in private saving; deficits have no effect on demand or output, and debt does not affect capital accumulation.
  • In Practice:
    • Ricardian equivalence often fails.
    • Larger deficits lead to higher demand and output in the short run but lower capital accumulation and output in the long run.
Cyclically Adjusted Deficit
  • Definition: Indicates what the deficit would be under existing tax and spending rules if output were at its potential level.
  • Policy Implication: Governments should run deficits during recessions and surpluses during booms.
Deficits during Wars
  • Key Points:
    • Justified during high spending periods like wars.
    • Deficits shift some burden from current to future generations.
Consequences of High Debt Ratios
  • Risks:
    • Increased perceived risk of default.
    • Higher interest rates leading to more debt.
    • Potential for a debt explosion.
Debt Explosion
  • Definition: A vicious cycle of rising debt and interest rates that may lead to default or reliance on money finance.
Money Finance
  • Definition: Issuing bonds and forcing the central bank to buy them in exchange for money.
  • Risk: May lead to hyperinflation and high economic costs.
Budget Process
  • Recurrent Costs:
    • The government budget includes capital or development items and current use expenditures, known as recurrent costs.
    • Developing countries and donor aid programs often waste capital by neglecting recurrent costs needed for capital maintenance.
Taxation
  • Indirect Taxes:
    • Developing countries primarily rely on indirect taxes (sales, value-added taxes, and customs duties).
    • Income and capital gains taxes are challenging and costly to administer, producing less revenue.
  • Tax Reform:
    • Simplifies the tax system with fewer tax rates.
    • Introduces taxes like the value-added tax, which have self-enforcement properties.
  • Tax Code:
    • Greater complexity increases difficulty and corruption in administration.
    • Simplified tax codes reduce economic distortions caused by taxes.
Progressive Taxation
  • Definition:
    • Taxation based on an individual’s ability to pay, where higher-income individuals pay a larger share of their income in taxes.
    • A progressive tax system aligns with equity principles but is difficult to administer in developing countries.
    • Limited applications, such as exempting food from sales taxes.
  • Incidence of Taxes:
    • Taxes designed to be progressive often become regressive in practice.
    • Tax reform should address this issue.
Allocation Function
  • Definition:
    • Provision of goods and services.
    • Provision of public goods (non-rival and non-exclusive goods).
Distribution Function
  • Definition: Distribution of income and wealth.
Stabilization Function
  • Definition:
    • High employment (low unemployment).
    • Price stability (moderate inflation).
    • High economic growth (high GDP growth).
Money Supply
  • Definition: Composed of the liquid assets of an economy. The degree of liquidity varies, leading to different, more precise definitions of the money supply.
Inflation
  • Definition: Inflation is a tax on money holders. A moderate rate can increase government savings and investment without harming growth. However, high inflation shifts people away from liquid assets, undermining financial development and harming economic growth.
Exchange Rate Systems
  • Definition: Essential for controlling inflation.
    • Fixed Exchange Rates: Local currency is pegged to another, such as the dollar; worldwide inflation transfers quickly to the country.
    • Floating Exchange Rates: Determined by market forces, with inflation arising from domestic sources.
Open-Market Operations
  • Definition: Mechanisms like open-market operations reduce the money supply’s growth rate to control inflation. These are more efficient but less feasible in developing countries.
Credit Ceilings and Bank Reserve Requirements
  • Definition: Less efficient methods but effective in curbing the growth of the money supply and inflation.
Financial Panics
  • Definition: Despite progress in eliminating causes of panics, events like those in the late 1990s and 2007–09 show that financial crises can still occur.
Real Interest Rate
  • Definition: The nominal interest rate adjusted for inflation. The real rate influences whether individuals are willing to hold liquid assets.
Positive Real Interest Rates
  • Definition: Necessary for financial deepening (rising liquid assets to GDP ratio). Negative rates hinder this process. Financial deepening generally supports growth.
Financial Institutions
  • Definition: As economies grow, they require diverse institutions for long-term financing, including stock markets, bond markets, insurance companies, and government-supported development banks.
Informal Financial Markets
  • Definition: Serve small businesses and individuals with limited resources. However, loans in these markets often come with high-interest rates.
Microfinance
  • Definition: Provides more formal and reasonable credit terms to underserved borrowers. Rapid expansion since the 1970s, but its overall impact on poverty remains unclear.

Output, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates

Determinants of Domestic Demand
  • Definition: In an open economy, the demand for goods depends on the interest rate and the exchange rate.
    • Interest Rate: A decrease increases the demand for goods.
    • Exchange Rate: An increase (depreciation) increases the demand for goods.
Interest Parity Condition
  • Definition: The domestic interest rate equals the foreign interest rate plus the expected rate of depreciation.
    • Interest Rate: Determined by the equality of money demand and supply.
    • Exchange Rate: Determined by the interest parity condition.
Appreciation vs. Depreciation
  • Appreciation: Increases in the domestic interest rate lead to a decrease in the exchange rate.
  • Depreciation: Decreases in the domestic interest rate lead to an increase in the exchange rate.
Exchange Rate Regimes
  1. Flexible Exchange Rate:
    • No explicit exchange rate targets.
    • Exchange rate fluctuates considerably.
  2. Fixed Exchange Rate:
    • The exchange rate is maintained at a fixed level relative to some foreign currency or a basket of currencies.
Fixed Exchange Rate
  • Interest Rate: Must equal the foreign interest rate under fixed exchange rates and the interest parity condition.
  • Monetary Policy: The central bank loses monetary policy as a tool.
  • Fiscal Policy: Becomes more effective as it triggers monetary accommodation.
    • Monetary Accommodation: A policy to stimulate economic growth by loosening the money supply.
  • Definition: A central bank’s choice of the level of money supply and interest rate.
    • Monetary Expansion: An increase in the money supply, leading to a decrease in the interest rate.
    • Monetary Contraction/Tightening: A decrease in the money supply, leading to an increase in the interest rate.
Money
  • Definition: A financial asset used directly to buy goods.
  • Functions:
    1. Medium of exchange
    2. Unit of account
    3. Store of value
    4. Standard of deferred payment
Money Supply
  • M1: Currency, traveler’s checks, checkable deposits (narrow money).
  • M2: M1 plus money market mutual fund shares, savings deposits, time deposits (broad money).
  • M3: Broader than M2, constructed by the central bank.
Neutrality of Money
  • Definition: The proposition that an increase in nominal money only affects the price level, with no impact on output or the interest rate.
Inflation
  • Definition: A sustained rise in the general level of prices.
  • Inflation Rate: The rate at which the price level increases over time.
Inflation and Nominal Money Growth
  • Early focus on nominal money growth was abandoned due to its weak relationship with inflation.
Inflation Targeting
  • Definition: Central banks now target the inflation rate rather than nominal money growth.
Taylor Rule
  • Definition: A guideline for setting the nominal interest rate based on:
    1. The deviation of the inflation rate from the target.
    2. The deviation of unemployment from the natural rate.
  • Purpose: Stabilizes economic activity and achieves medium-run inflation targets.
Natural Rate of Unemployment
  • Definition: The unemployment rate at which inflation remains constant.
    • Above natural rate: Inflation decreases.
    • Below natural rate: Inflation increases.
Phillips Curve
  • Definition: Plots the relationship between inflation and unemployment.
    • Original: Relation between inflation rate and unemployment rate.
    • Modified: Relation between the change in inflation rate and unemployment rate.
Optimal Rate of Inflation
  • Definition: Balances the costs and benefits of inflation.
    • Optimal rate often considered around 2% (e.g., targets by UK, ECB, US Federal Reserve).
Unconventional Monetary Policy
  • Definition: Used when economies hit the zero lower bound (e.g., quantitative easing).
    • Central bank purchases affect risk premiums and increase balance sheets.
    • Future challenge: Whether to reduce central bank balance sheets and use these measures in normal times.
Macroprudential Tools

Optimal use remains a challenge for monetary policy.

Definition: Used to limit bubbles, control credit growth, and decrease financial system risk.

Stable inflation is insufficient for macroeconomic stability.

Monetary Policy

From Money Growth to Inflation Targeting

In the past, central banks focused on controlling the money supply to manage inflation. However, changes in money demand and the unreliable link between money supply and economic activity led to the adoption of inflation targeting.

  • Central banks now set an inflation target (often around 2%) and adjust the interest rate to achieve that target.
  • Interest rates are used as a more direct way to influence spending, output, and inflation.

This framework has been effective in many countries, providing low and stable inflation before the global financial crisis.

The Taylor Rule and Interest Rate Policy

The Taylor rule offers guidance on setting interest rates. It suggests adjusting the policy rate in response to:

  1. Deviations of inflation from the target.
  2. Deviations of unemployment from its natural rate.

If inflation rises above the target, the central bank raises interest rates to cool the economy. If unemployment is high, the bank lowers rates to stimulate spending and investment.

The Zero Lower Bound and Unconventional Policy

During the 2008 financial crisis, many central banks lowered interest rates to near zero, reaching the zero lower bound. At this point, further rate cuts were no longer possible, and central banks turned to unconventional monetary policy measures, such as:

  • Quantitative Easing (QE): Central banks purchased long-term assets to lower borrowing costs and stimulate the economy.
  • These asset purchases aimed to reduce risk premiums and encourage lending.

While QE helped stabilize financial markets, its long-term effectiveness remains debated, and central banks now face challenges in unwinding their large balance sheets.

Monetary Policy and Financial Stability

The financial crisis revealed that monetary policy alone is insufficient to maintain stability. Central banks now use macroprudential tools to prevent financial risks, such as:

  • Limits on loan-to-value (LTV) ratios: To control housing bubbles.
  • Capital requirements: To reduce excessive bank leverage.
  • Capital controls: To manage volatile capital flows.

Balancing monetary policy and financial stability tools is essential to prevent future crises.

Conclusion

Monetary policy has evolved from focusing on money supply to targeting inflation with interest rate adjustments. However, the zero lower bound and financial instability present new challenges. Central banks must carefully coordinate traditional tools with macroprudential measures to manage inflation, support output, and ensure financial stability.

Output, Interest Rates, and Exchange Rates

The Goods Market and Financial Markets in an Open Economy
  • Goods Market Equilibrium:
    Output is determined by the demand for domestic goods, which includes consumption, investment, government spending, and net exports (exports minus imports).
  • Interest Rates and Exchange Rates:
    The interest rate influences both investment and net exports. A higher domestic interest rate reduces investment and causes the currency to appreciate, making exports less competitive. Conversely, a lower interest rate encourages investment, leading to a depreciation, which boosts exports.
Interest Parity and Exchange Rate Determination

In an open economy, investors seek the highest return, whether from domestic or foreign bonds. The interest parity condition states that the returns on domestic and foreign bonds must be equal when adjusted for exchange rates. This means:

  • A rise in the domestic interest rate leads to currency appreciation, as investors prefer domestic assets.
  • A rise in the foreign interest rate leads to currency depreciation, as investors shift toward foreign assets.
Impact of Monetary and Fiscal Policies
  1. Monetary Policy:
    When the central bank raises interest rates, two effects occur:
  • Domestic Demand falls, as borrowing becomes more expensive.
  • Exchange Rate Appreciation reduces exports, decreasing net demand for domestic goods. In an open economy, both effects work together, resulting in a significant reduction in output.
  1. Fiscal Policy:
    An increase in government spending raises output, boosting consumption and investment. However, higher output increases imports, worsening the trade balance. If the central bank raises interest rates to prevent inflation, the currency appreciates, further reducing exports.
Fixed vs. Flexible Exchange Rates
  1. Flexible Exchange Rates:
    The exchange rate adjusts freely based on market conditions. An increase in interest rates leads to currency appreciation, reducing net exports and output.
  2. Fixed Exchange Rates:
    The central bank maintains a constant exchange rate by aligning domestic interest rates with foreign rates. In this regime, the central bank loses control over independent monetary policy, limiting its ability to respond to domestic economic conditions.
Conclusion

In an open economy, the interaction between interest rates and exchange rates shapes both domestic output and trade balances. Policymakers must carefully balance fiscal and monetary tools, considering the impact on exchange rates and international competitiveness. Under fixed exchange rate regimes, the trade-offs become more pronounced, as monetary policy is constrained by the need to maintain currency stability.

Fiscal Policy

Fiscal policy plays a critical role in managing economic activity by influencing demand, government spending, and taxes. Governments must navigate the trade-offs between short-term economic growth and long-term fiscal sustainability, especially when faced with challenges like recessions or public debt.

What Fiscal Policy Involves
  1. Stimulating Economic Growth:
    During economic downturns, governments often use fiscal expansion—such as increasing spending or cutting taxes—to boost demand and output. However, these measures can create budget deficits, meaning the government spends more than it collects.
  2. Managing Budget Deficits and Debt:
    Persistent budget deficits increase government debt. Governments must eventually repay this debt, typically by either increasing taxes or reducing spending. The challenge is balancing debt reduction without stifling economic recovery.
Government Budget Constraint

The government budget constraint highlights the relationship between debt, interest rates, spending, and taxes. If a government runs a deficit, it must borrow to cover the shortfall, increasing its debt. Interest payments on existing debt create an additional burden, requiring either higher taxes or more borrowing over time.

Fiscal Policy in Recessions
  • Fiscal Expansion: During a recession, governments increase spending or cut taxes to stimulate demand. However, if deficits grow too large, investors may demand higher interest rates, increasing the cost of borrowing and threatening financial stability.
  • Managing Expectations: The effectiveness of fiscal policy depends partly on public expectations. If people believe tax cuts are temporary, they might save more instead of spending, reducing the policy’s impact.
Debt Management and Economic Stability
  • Stabilizing Debt: To stabilize debt, governments must eventually eliminate deficits. This typically involves running primary surpluses—tax revenues exceeding non-interest spending—to cover interest payments and prevent debt growth.
  • Trade-offs: Governments must decide how quickly to reduce deficits. Rapid deficit reduction reassures investors but risks slowing economic recovery. Gradual reduction supports growth but may lead to investor skepticism about the government’s ability to manage debt.
Ricardian Equivalence

The Ricardian equivalence theory suggests that temporary tax cuts have little impact on consumption. People expect future taxes to rise to cover deficits, so they save rather than spend. While this theory holds under certain conditions, in practice, not everyone adjusts their behavior perfectly, making fiscal policy still effective in many cases.

Conclusion

Fiscal policy is a powerful tool for managing economic cycles, but it must be used carefully to avoid unsustainable debt levels. Governments need to strike a balance between stimulating growth and maintaining fiscal responsibility, ensuring that short-term actions do not create long-term financial instability.

The Goods Market in an Open Economy

When economies engage in global trade, their domestic markets interact with foreign ones, influencing production, trade balances, and national policies. This chapter explains how open economies work, focusing on how exports, imports, exchange rates, and government actions impact economic outcomes.

Key Concepts in an Open Economy

In an open economy, part of the domestic demand goes toward foreign goods (imports), and foreign consumers also buy domestic goods (exports). This relationship affects the overall demand for domestic products, which is different from the total domestic spending.

Imports and Exports
  • Imports increase when domestic income rises, as people buy more goods, including foreign products. Additionally, when foreign goods are relatively cheaper (due to exchange rates), imports go up.
  • Exports depend on the income levels of other countries. When foreign economies grow, they buy more domestic goods. If domestic goods become cheaper for foreign consumers, exports also rise.
How Governments Influence the Economy

Governments use fiscal policies (like increasing spending or lowering taxes) to boost domestic demand. However, in an open economy, part of the additional demand may go toward buying foreign goods, which can reduce the effectiveness of these policies.

For example, if a government increases spending during a recession, it will increase domestic production. But it may also lead to more imports, potentially creating a trade deficit—a situation where imports exceed exports.

Real Exchange Rates and Trade

The real exchange rate measures how expensive domestic goods are compared to foreign goods. When the domestic currency depreciates (loses value), domestic goods become cheaper for foreign buyers, which boosts exports. At the same time, foreign goods become more expensive, reducing imports. This can improve the trade balance, helping to narrow trade deficits.

The J-Curve Effect

The J-Curve explains that after a currency depreciation, a country’s trade balance may initially worsen. This happens because while prices change immediately, it takes time for businesses and consumers to adjust their behavior. Over time, as exports increase and imports decrease, the trade balance improves.

Saving, Investment, and the Trade Balance

The current account balance reflects the relationship between saving and investment. If a country saves more than it invests, it runs a trade surplus (exports exceed imports). If it invests more than it saves, it runs a trade deficit (imports exceed exports). Government budget deficits can also affect the trade balance, as higher deficits may require borrowing from abroad.

Conclusion

In an open economy, policies and outcomes are interconnected globally. A rise in domestic demand affects trade, while exchange rate adjustments influence export and import levels. Policymakers must carefully balance fiscal measures and exchange rate policies to avoid trade imbalances and ensure steady economic growth.

Monopolistic Competition and Oligopoly

Monopolistic Competition

This type of market structure is characterized by the following:

  1. Many firms: There are multiple businesses operating within the market.
  2. Differentiated products: Each firm offers products that are unique in some way—like different brands of toothpaste or coffee. While products are not perfect substitutes, they are close enough that customers can switch easily if prices change.
  3. Free entry and exit: New firms can easily join the market if profits are high, while unprofitable firms can leave without much difficulty.

Even though these firms have some monopoly power—because they are the only producers of their specific brand—the power is limited. If one firm raises prices too much, consumers will shift to alternatives. A toothpaste brand like Crest, for instance, may attract loyal customers but not enough to charge prices far above competitors. As a result, firms in this structure tend to earn only modest profits.

Short-Run vs. Long-Run Equilibrium

In the short run, firms can make a profit because they face downward-sloping demand curves. The price charged is above marginal cost, meaning they enjoy some level of profit. However, as new firms enter the market, competition increases, which drives profits down.

In the long run, new competitors push profits to zero. The firm’s demand curve shifts until the price equals the average cost, $$P = AC$$, and economic profit becomes zero. Although each firm maintains some monopoly power by differentiating their products, the ease of entry ensures that no firm can earn large, sustained profits.

Efficiency and Product Diversity

Compared to perfect competition, monopolistic competition can lead to inefficiencies:

  1. Price exceeds marginal cost: This means additional units that could provide value to consumers are not produced, creating a deadweight loss.
  2. Excess capacity: Firms operate at a level below the minimum average cost, meaning production could be more efficient if there were fewer firms.

However, these inefficiencies are often tolerated because monopolistic competition fosters product diversity—consumers value the variety offered in these markets, such as different flavors of coffee or brands of shampoo.

Oligopoly

Oligopolies consist of a few firms that dominate the market. Examples include industries like automobiles, steel, and computers. Unlike monopolistic competition, entry into oligopolistic markets is difficult due to barriers like high production costs, patents, or the need for strong brand recognition.

Strategic Decision-Making

In oligopolies, firms must carefully consider how their decisions—whether related to pricing, production, or marketing—will affect their competitors. For instance, if Ford lowers car prices by 10%, it must anticipate whether competitors like Toyota will follow suit, remain passive, or undercut even more aggressively. This strategic interdependence complicates decision-making.

Possible Outcomes in Oligopoly
  1. Cooperation vs. Competition: Firms may either cooperate to keep prices high or engage in aggressive competition, which can lead to lower profits.
  2. Price wars: If one firm significantly lowers prices, others may retaliate, resulting in reduced profits for the entire industry.
  3. Cartels: Sometimes, firms explicitly collude to act like a monopoly and maximize joint profits. However, these arrangements are often unstable because members have incentives to cheat by secretly undercutting prices.
Conclusion

Both monopolistic competition and oligopoly demonstrate how real-world markets function between the extremes of perfect competition and monopoly. Monopolistic competition provides variety at the cost of some inefficiency, while oligopoly shows how strategic behavior among a few firms can shape market outcomes.

Midterms Mock Exam: Economic Analysis

  1. Market baskets are also known as bundles.
    True. Explanation: Market baskets, as mentioned in the lesson, are also referred to as bundles, representing a list with specific quantities of one or more goods.

  1. Consumers are indifferent to all market baskets available in the market.
    False. Explanation: Indifference refers to combinations of market baskets that provide a consumer with the same level of satisfaction, not all market baskets.

  1. The assumption of transitivity means that if a consumer prefers basket A over basket B, and basket B over basket C, then they must prefer basket A over basket C.
    True. Explanation: The assumption of transitivity ensures the logical consistency of consumer preferences, as stated in the consumer preference assumptions.

  1. Indifference curves can intersect.
    False. Explanation: Indifference curves cannot intersect because it would imply that the same bundle provides two different levels of satisfaction, which contradicts the concept of consumer preferences.

  1. The marginal rate of substitution is the maximum amount of one good a consumer is willing to give up to obtain one additional unit of another good.
    True. Explanation: This is the definition of the marginal rate of substitution (MRS) as stated in the discussion.

  1. The budget line represents the combinations of goods for which the total amount of money spent equals the consumer’s income.
    True. Explanation: The budget line reflects the consumer’s spending in relation to their income, as noted in the file.

  1. The point of tangency between the budget line and the indifference curve represents the point where the consumer maximizes satisfaction.
    True. Explanation: This is the condition for maximizing consumer satisfaction, as described in the topic.

  1. The substitution effect refers to the change in consumption associated with a change in price, keeping utility constant.
    True. Explanation: The substitution effect is defined this way in the topic.

  1. Consumer surplus is the difference between the price a consumer pays and the market price of a good.
    False. Explanation: Consumer surplus is the difference between what a consumer is willing to pay and the amount actually paid.

  1. Network externalities occur when each individual’s demand is independent of the purchases of others.
    False. Explanation: Network externalities occur when each individual’s demand depends on the purchases of other individuals, as described in the file.

  1. The bandwagon effect is a negative network externality.
    False. Explanation: The bandwagon effect is a positive network externality where demand increases as more individuals buy the product.

  1. The snob effect occurs when a consumer’s demand for a good increases as fewer people purchase the good.
    True. Explanation: The snob effect is described in this way in the topic, representing a negative network externality.

  1. A risk-averse consumer prefers a certain income to a risky income with the same expected value.
    True. Explanation: This is the definition of risk aversion as mentioned in the consumer preferences toward risk section.

  1. Risk-loving consumers prefer a certain income to a risky income with the same expected value.
    False. Explanation: Risk-loving consumers prefer a risky income to a certain income with the same expected value, as noted in the topic.

  1. Diversification is one way to reduce risk for consumers.
    True. Explanation: Diversification is one of the methods to reduce risk as mentioned in the “Reducing Risk” section.

  1. Indifference curves are convex because of the diminishing marginal rate of substitution.
    True. Explanation: Indifference curves are typically convex to the origin, reflecting the diminishing marginal rate of substitution.

  1. An indifference map consists of a single indifference curve representing different levels of satisfaction.
    False. Explanation: An indifference map consists of a set of indifference curves, not just one.

  1. The budget line can shift due to changes in the consumer’s income or prices of goods.
    True. Explanation: Changes in income or prices can cause the budget line to shift, as mentioned in the file.

  1. A consumer maximizes satisfaction where the marginal rate of substitution equals the ratio of the prices of two goods.
    True. Explanation: This is the condition for consumer satisfaction maximization, where MRS = PF/PC.

  1. More is better than less is one of the assumptions of consumer preferences.
    True. Explanation: “More is better than less” is one of the three assumptions of consumer preferences.

  1. The theory of the firm explains how a firm makes cost-minimizing production decisions.
    True. Explanation: The theory of the firm explains how a firm makes cost-minimizing production decisions and how its cost varies with its output.

  1. A firm operates to make losses.
    False. Explanation: A firm operates to make profits, as mentioned in the topic.

  1. The production function shows the highest output a firm can produce for any combination of inputs.
    True. Explanation: The production function shows the highest output that a firm can produce for every specified combination of inputs.

  1. The average product of labor is calculated as the output produced divided by the number of labor units.
    True. Explanation: The average product of labor equals output per unit of input, or q/L, as stated in the topic.

  1. The law of diminishing marginal returns states that as the use of an input increases with other inputs fixed, the additions to output will eventually decrease.
    True. Explanation: This is the definition of the law of diminishing marginal returns, as noted in the file.

  1. Isoquants represent all possible combinations of outputs that yield the same input.
    False. Explanation: Isoquants represent all possible combinations of inputs that yield the same output, not combinations of outputs.

  1. The marginal rate of technical substitution is the rate at which one input can be reduced when one extra unit of another input is used, while keeping output constant.
    True. Explanation: This is the definition of the marginal rate of technical substitution (MRTS), as described in the topic.

  1. Increasing returns to scale occur when output more than doubles as all inputs are doubled.
    True. Explanation: Increasing returns to scale mean that output more than doubles when all inputs are doubled, as stated in the file.

  1. Constant returns to scale occur when output less than doubles as all inputs are doubled.
    False. Explanation: Constant returns to scale occur when output doubles as all inputs are doubled, not less than doubles.

  1. Economic cost includes both actual expenses and opportunity costs.
    True. Explanation: Economic cost includes the cost of utilizing resources in production, including opportunity cost, as mentioned in the topic.

  1. Sunk costs should always be considered when making future economic decisions.
    False. Explanation: Sunk costs should be ignored when making future economic decisions, as stated in the file.

  1. In the short run, a firm can vary all of its inputs.
    False. Explanation: In the short run, some inputs are fixed, while others can be varied.

  1. The user cost of capital includes economic depreciation and the interest rate multiplied by the value of capital.
    True. Explanation: The user cost of capital is calculated as economic depreciation plus (interest rate × value of capital), as described in the file.

  1. Economies of scale occur when output can be doubled for less than a doubling of cost.
    True. Explanation: Economies of scale occur when output can be doubled for less than a doubling of cost, as mentioned in the topic.

  1. Diseconomies of scale occur when a doubling of output requires less than a doubling of cost.
    False. Explanation: Diseconomies of scale occur when a doubling of output requires more than a doubling of cost.

  1. In a perfectly competitive market, firms are price makers.
    False. Explanation: In a perfectly competitive market, firms are price takers, not price makers.

  1. The short-run supply curve of a competitive firm is the portion of the marginal cost curve where MC is greater than average economic cost.
    True. Explanation: The firm’s short-run supply curve is the portion of the marginal cost (MC) curve for which MC is greater than average economic cost.

  1. In the long run, a firm maximizes profit by choosing output where price equals long-run marginal cost (P = LMC).
    True. Explanation: Long-run profit maximization occurs where price equals long-run marginal cost (P = LMC), as described in the topic.

  1. Sunk costs can be recovered after they are incurred.
    False. Explanation: Sunk costs cannot be recovered once incurred, as noted in the file.

  1. Firms in highly competitive markets face highly elastic demand curves.
    True. Explanation: Firms in highly competitive markets face highly elastic demand curves, as mentioned in the topic.

  1. A government-imposed price ceiling causes the quantity of a good demanded to rise and the quantity supplied to fall.
    True. Explanation: A price ceiling results in a higher demand and lower supply, creating a shortage, as mentioned in the topic.

  1. Consumer surplus is the difference between what a consumer is willing to pay and what they actually pay for a good.
    True. Explanation: Consumer surplus represents the benefit consumers receive beyond what they pay for a good.

  1. Producer surplus is the sum over all units produced of the difference between the market price of a good and its marginal cost.
    True. Explanation: Producer surplus is defined as the sum of the difference between the market price and the marginal cost (MC) for each unit produced.

  1. Deadweight loss occurs when price controls result in a net gain in total surplus.
    False. Explanation: Deadweight loss occurs when price controls result in a net loss of total surplus, as explained in the topic.

  1. In cases where demand is inelastic, consumers may suffer a net loss from price controls.
    True. Explanation: When demand is inelastic, the loss from price controls may be greater for consumers, leading to a net loss.

  1. Economic efficiency is the maximization of aggregate consumer and producer surplus.
    True. Explanation: Economic efficiency refers to the maximization of total surplus, which includes both consumer and producer surplus.

  1. Market failure occurs when a competitive market is perfectly efficient and prices provide proper signals.
    False. Explanation: Market failure occurs when an unregulated competitive market is inefficient because prices fail to provide proper signals to consumers and producers.

  1. Externalities are costs or benefits from market transactions that are internal to the market.
    False. Explanation: Externalities are costs or benefits that are external to the market and do not show up as part of the market price.

  1. Government intervention is unnecessary when consumers lack information about the quality of products.
    False. Explanation: Government intervention, such as requiring “truth in labeling,” may be necessary when consumers lack information to make utility-maximizing decisions.

  1. Minimum wage laws are an example of a government policy seeking to lower prices below market-clearing levels.
    False. Explanation: Minimum wage laws raise prices (wages) above market-clearing levels, not lower them.

  1. Price supports aim to increase prices of particular farm products so that farmers receive higher incomes.
    True. Explanation: Price supports are designed to raise the prices of certain farm products, ensuring that farmers earn higher incomes.

  1. Price supports result in consumers paying a higher price and producers receiving a lower price.
    False. Explanation: Price supports cause consumers to pay a higher price, but producers receive a higher price as well.

  1. The total welfare cost of price supports is the sum of the consumer surplus lost, producer surplus gained, and cost to the government.
    True. Explanation: The total welfare cost includes changes in consumer and producer surplus, plus the cost to the government.

  1. The government can eliminate deadweight loss from price supports by giving farmers direct payments instead of using price supports.
    True. Explanation: Direct payments to farmers would avoid the inefficiency caused by price supports, reducing the overall welfare loss.

  1. Production quotas restrict supply to maintain prices above the market-clearing level.
    True. Explanation: Quotas limit supply, ensuring that prices remain above the market-clearing level.

  1. Import tariffs raise the domestic price above the world price, benefiting consumers.
    False. Explanation: Import tariffs raise the domestic price, which benefits producers but harms consumers by increasing prices.

  1. The burden of a tax is always equally split between buyers and sellers.
    False. Explanation: The burden of a tax is split depending on the relative elasticities of supply and demand, not always equally.

  1. If demand is more elastic than supply, the burden of a tax falls mostly on buyers.
    False. Explanation: When demand is more elastic than supply, the burden of the tax falls mostly on sellers.

  1. A subsidy is a form of negative tax that benefits both buyers and sellers depending on supply and demand elasticity.
    True. Explanation: A subsidy is a negative tax, and its benefits are shared between buyers and sellers based on the elasticities of supply and demand.

  1. Price controls never result in deadweight loss if demand is elastic.
    False. Explanation: Price controls can result in deadweight loss regardless of the elasticity of demand, as shown in the topic.

  1. Monopoly is a market with only one seller.
    True. Explanation: By definition, monopoly is a market where there is only one seller, as mentioned in the topic.

  1. A monopolist’s average revenue (AR) is the same as the market demand curve.
    True. Explanation: The monopolist’s AR, or the price it receives per unit sold, is the market demand curve.

  1. For a competitive firm, price equals marginal cost (P = MC), while for a monopolist, price exceeds marginal cost (P > MC).
    True. Explanation: For a competitive firm, P = MC; for a monopolist, price exceeds marginal cost, as noted in the topic.

  1. The Lerner Index is a measure of monopoly power, calculated as the excess of price over marginal cost as a fraction of price.
    True. Explanation: The Lerner Index measures monopoly power by comparing how much price exceeds marginal cost as a fraction of price.

  1. Markup pricing is lower in convenience stores than in supermarkets because convenience stores face more elastic demand.
    False. Explanation: Convenience stores face less elastic demand than supermarkets, leading to higher markup pricing in convenience stores.

  1. Designer jeans often have demand elasticities in the range of -3 to -4, meaning their prices are 33% to 50% higher than marginal cost.
    True. Explanation: Designer jeans have demand elasticities of -3 to -4, resulting in prices being 33% to 50% higher than marginal cost.

  1. Monopoly power is higher in markets where demand elasticity is low, and there are few firms interacting.
    True. Explanation: Monopoly power increases when the elasticity of market demand is low and there are few firms in the market.

  1. Rent-seeking activities, such as lobbying and campaign contributions, do not contribute to the social cost of monopoly power.
    False. Explanation: Rent-seeking activities increase the social cost of monopoly power because firms engage in socially unproductive efforts to maintain monopoly power.

  1. Price regulation always results in deadweight loss, regardless of whether the market is competitive or monopolistic.
    False. Explanation: Price regulation results in deadweight loss in competitive markets, but it can reduce deadweight loss in monopolistic markets.

  1. A natural monopoly occurs when a firm can produce the entire market output at a lower cost than multiple firms could.
    True. Explanation: A natural monopoly arises when one firm can produce the entire market output more cheaply than several firms could.

  1. Monopsony is a market with a single seller.
    False. Explanation: Monopsony is a market with a single buyer, not a single seller.

  1. Monopsony power allows a buyer to pay less for a good than they would in a competitive market.
    True. Explanation: Monopsony power enables a buyer to purchase goods at a lower price than in a competitive market.

  1. The marginal expenditure (ME) in a monopsony market is the additional cost of purchasing one more unit of a good.
    True. Explanation: Marginal expenditure represents the additional cost of purchasing one more unit of a good in a monopsony market.

  1. A monopsonist faces a downward-sloping supply curve, meaning that ME is greater than average expenditure (AE).
    False. Explanation: A monopsonist faces an upward-sloping supply curve, meaning ME is greater than AE, as explained in the topic.

  1. Antitrust laws, such as the Sherman Act and the Philippine Competition Act, aim to prevent actions that restrain competition.
    True. Explanation: Antitrust laws prohibit actions that restrain competition, as detailed in the topic.

  1. Parallel conduct refers to explicit collusion between firms to fix prices and divide the market.
    False. Explanation: Parallel conduct is implicit collusion where firms follow each other’s actions, not explicit price fixing.

  1. Predatory pricing involves lowering prices to drive out competitors and discourage new entrants into the market.
    True. Explanation: Predatory pricing is the practice of setting low prices to drive out competitors and prevent new entrants from entering the market.

  1. In a competitive market, a firm’s price always exceeds its marginal cost.
    False. Explanation: In a competitive market, price equals marginal cost (P = MC), not exceeds it.

  1. Monopsony power is reduced when buyers compete aggressively and bid up prices.
    True. Explanation: When buyers compete aggressively, prices rise, and monopsony power is reduced, as noted in the topic.

  1. A monopsony market is characterized by multiple buyers controlling a single seller’s price.
    False. Explanation: In a monopsony, there is only one buyer who controls the price, not multiple buyers.

Midterms Reviewer: Economics Analysis

Market Baskets
  • Definition: A list of specific quantities of one or more goods (also called a bundle).
  • Example: A grocery cart with items or monthly quantities of food, clothing, and housing a consumer purchases.
Consumer Preferences
  1. Completeness: Consumers can compare and rank all market baskets.
  2. Transitivity: If a consumer prefers A to B and B to C, they must prefer A to C.
  3. More is better than less: Consumers prefer more goods to fewer, assuming all else is equal.
Indifference Curve
  • Definition: A curve showing combinations of market baskets that give a consumer the same satisfaction.
Indifference Map
  • Definition: A set of indifference curves showing different combinations of market baskets among which the consumer is indifferent.
Marginal Rate of Substitution (MRS)
  • Definition: The maximum amount of one good a consumer is willing to give up for an additional unit of another good.
  • Formula:
    $$
    MRS_{xy} = \frac{dy}{dx} = \frac{MU_x}{MU_y}
    $$
Budget Line
  • Definition: Combinations of goods for which the total money spent equals income.
  • Formula:
    $$
    P_F F + P_C C = I
    $$
    Where:
  • ( P_F ) = Price of food, ( F ) = Quantity of food
  • ( P_C ) = Price of clothing, ( C ) = Quantity of clothing
  • ( I ) = Income
Maximizing Consumer Satisfaction
  • Condition: Occurs where the indifference curve and the budget line are tangent.
  • Equilibrium Condition:
    $$
    MRS = \frac{P_F}{P_C}
    $$
Substitution and Income Effects
  • Substitution Effect: Change in consumption due to a change in price, holding utility constant.
  • Income Effect: Change in consumption due to a change in purchasing power, holding relative prices constant.
Consumer Surplus
  • Definition: The difference between what a consumer is willing to pay and what they actually pay.
Network Externalities
  • Definition: When demand depends on other individuals’ purchases.
  • Positive (Bandwagon Effect): More people buying increases demand.
  • Negative (Snob Effect): More people buying decreases demand.
Consumer Preferences Toward Risk
  1. Risk Averse: Prefers a certain income over a risky one with the same expected value.
  2. Risk Loving: Prefers a risky income over a certain one with the same expected value.
  3. Risk Neutral: Indifferent between a certain and risky income with the same expected value.
Reducing Risk
  1. Diversification: Spreading investments to reduce risk.
  2. Insurance: Paying to transfer the risk of uncertain events.
  3. Information: Gaining knowledge to reduce uncertainty.

Here is a concise and extensive cheat sheet based on the key ideas from the provided Theory of the Firm document, with mathematical equations and solutions wrapped with $$…$$.


Firms and Production Decisions:
  1. Production Technology: Describes the methods a firm uses to produce goods.
  2. Cost Constraints: Factors limiting production due to costs.
  3. Input Choices: Decisions firms make regarding the mix of inputs to minimize costs.
Production Function:
  • Describes the highest output a firm can produce for a given input combination:
    $$ q = F(K, L) $$
  • q: Output
  • K: Capital
  • L: Labor
Production with One Variable Input:
  • Total Product (TP): Output for varying input amounts.
  • Average Product (AP): Output per unit of input:
    $$ AP_L = \frac{q}{L} $$
  • Marginal Product (MP): Additional output per extra unit of input:
    $$ MP_L = \frac{\Delta q}{\Delta L} $$
Law of Diminishing Marginal Returns:
  • With fixed inputs, increasing one input results in smaller output increments over time.
Isoquant & Isocost Lines:
  • Isoquant: Curve showing all input combinations that yield the same output.
  • Isocost Line: Shows combinations of inputs a firm can afford at a given cost.
Marginal Rate of Technical Substitution (MRTS):
  • The rate at which one input can be substituted for another while keeping output constant:
    $$ MRTS = – \frac{\Delta K}{\Delta L} $$
Returns to Scale:
  1. Increasing Returns to Scale: Output more than doubles when inputs double.
  2. Constant Returns to Scale: Output doubles when inputs double.
  3. Decreasing Returns to Scale: Output increases less than double when inputs double.
Costs of Production:
  • Accounting Cost: Actual expenses + depreciation.
  • Economic Cost: Costs including opportunity cost of resources.
Short-Run vs. Long-Run Costs:
  • User Cost of Capital:
    $$ \text{User Cost} = \text{Economic Depreciation} + (r \times \text{Value of Capital}) $$
  • Example: If the purchase price is $150 million, depreciation is $5 million/year, and the interest rate is 10%, then:
    $$ \text{User Cost} = 5M + (0.10 \times 150M) = 20M $$
Economies and Diseconomies of Scale:
  • Economies of Scale: Output can be doubled for less than a doubling of cost.
  • Diseconomies of Scale: Doubling output costs more than doubling the input costs.
Market Structures:
Perfectly Competitive Markets:
  • Features:
  1. Price-taking behavior.
  2. Product homogeneity.
  3. Free entry and exit.
Profit Maximization:
  • In perfect competition, firms maximize profit where:
    $$ MC(q) = MR = P $$
Short-Run Supply Decision:
  • A firm produces where:
    $$ P = MC $$
  • The firm shuts down if:
    $$ P < \text{Average Economic Cost} $$
Long-Run Profit Maximization:
  • Firms choose output where:
    $$ P = LMC $$

Government Policies and Market Intervention
  • Price Ceiling:
  • Effect: Increases demand, decreases supply → leads to shortages.
  • Impact on Consumers: Some benefit from lower prices, while others cannot buy due to shortages.
  • Evaluating Impact: Changes in Consumer Surplus (CS) and Producer Surplus (PS) are key metrics.
  • Consumer Surplus (CS):
    $$ \text{CS} = \text{Willingness to Pay} – \text{Actual Price Paid} $$
  • Measures the extra benefit consumers receive beyond the price they pay.
  • Producer Surplus (PS):
    $$ \text{PS} = \text{Market Price} – \text{Marginal Cost of Production} $$
  • Summed over all units produced, PS is the benefit producers get from selling above their cost.
  • Deadweight Loss (DWL):
    $$ \text{DWL} = \text{Loss of Total Surplus due to Market Inefficiency} $$
  • Price controls (like price ceilings) can cause DWL because the loss in producer surplus often outweighs consumer gains.
    $$ \Delta \text{CS} + \Delta \text{PS} = – B – C $$
Market Efficiency and Failure
  • Economic Efficiency:
    $$ \text{Maximization of Total Surplus (CS + PS)} $$
  • Occurs in a perfectly competitive market.
  • Market Failure:
    Occurs when unregulated markets are inefficient, e.g., externalities (costs/benefits not reflected in prices) or information asymmetry.
Price Supports and Production Quotas
  • Price Support:
  • Government sets a support price ( P_s ), buying up the excess supply to maintain prices above equilibrium.
  • Effect: Reduces consumer surplus, increases producer surplus, but at a cost to the government.
    $$ \Delta \text{CS} = – A – B $$
    $$ \Delta \text{PS} = A + B + D $$
    $$ \text{Cost to Government} = (Q_2 – Q_1) P_s $$
  • Production Quotas:
    To sustain higher prices, the government restricts supply via quotas or incentives for producers to reduce output.
Taxes and Subsidies
  • Tax:
    $$ P_b = \text{Price paid by buyers (includes tax)} $$
    $$ P_s = \text{Price sellers receive (net of tax)} $$
  • Impact: Divided between buyers and sellers, depending on the elasticity of supply and demand.
  • Deadweight Loss:
    $$ \text{DWL} = B + C $$
  • Subsidy:
    $$ \text{A negative tax, benefits divided between buyers and sellers depending on relative elasticities.} $$
Price Floors (Minimum Prices)
  • Effect: Raises prices above equilibrium (e.g., minimum wage laws, agricultural price supports).
    $$ \Delta \text{CS} = – A – B $$
    $$ \Delta \text{PS} = A – C $$
    $$ \text{Total change in surplus} = – B – C $$
Import Tariffs and Quotas
  • Elimination of Imports:
  • Raises domestic prices, benefiting producers but harming consumers and creating deadweight loss.
    $$ \Delta \text{CS} = – (A + B + C) $$
    $$ \text{DWL} = B + C $$

Monopoly
  • Definition: A market with only one seller who completely controls output and price.
  • Average Revenue (AR): The price received per unit sold, which is the market demand curve.
  • Marginal Revenue (MR): Change in revenue from a unit change in output. The monopolist uses MR to choose the profit-maximizing output.
Monopoly Power
  • P = MC for Competitive Firms: Price equals marginal cost.
  • P > MC for Monopoly: A monopolist sets a price greater than the marginal cost.
  • Lerner Index: A measure of monopoly power, calculated as the excess of price over marginal cost as a fraction of price. $$ L = \frac{P – MC}{P} $$
Rule of Thumb for Pricing
  • Monopolist’s price markup over MC is: $$ P = \frac{MC}{1 + (1/Ed)} $$ where ( Ed ) is the elasticity of demand for the firm.
Markup Pricing Examples
  1. Supermarkets: Typically, the price is set about 11% above MC when elasticity is -10. $$ P = \frac{MC}{1 – 0.1} = 1.11 MC $$
  2. Convenience Stores: Face less elastic demand, setting prices 25% above MC when elasticity is -5. $$ P = \frac{MC}{1 – 0.2} = 1.25 MC $$
  3. Designer Jeans: Markups range from 33% to 50% higher than MC when elasticity is between -3 and -4.
Sources of Monopoly Power
  1. Elasticity of Market Demand: The less elastic the demand, the greater the monopoly power.
  2. Number of Firms: Fewer firms mean more market control.
  3. Firm Interaction: Competitors’ reactions can influence monopoly pricing.
Social Costs of Monopoly Power
  • Rent Seeking: Expenditure in socially unproductive efforts to maintain monopoly power, such as lobbying or avoiding antitrust.
Price Regulation
  • Eliminating Deadweight Loss: In monopolies, price regulation can prevent deadweight loss unlike in competitive markets.
Natural Monopoly
  • Definition: A single firm that can produce the entire market output at a lower cost than multiple firms.
Monopsony
  • Definition: A market with a single buyer.
Monopsony Power
  • Marginal Value (MV): The additional benefit from purchasing one more unit.
  • Marginal Expenditure (ME): The additional cost of buying one more unit.
  • Average Expenditure (AE): The price paid per unit of a good.
Sources of Monopsony Power
  1. Elasticity of Market Supply: The less elastic the supply curve, the more monopsony power, as ME > AE.
  2. Number of Buyers: More buyers reduce the power of any single buyer.
  3. Buyer Interaction: Collusion among buyers can increase monopsony power.
Limiting Market Power
  • Antitrust Laws: Regulations that prevent actions restraining competition (e.g., Sherman Act, Clayton Act).
  • Parallel Conduct: Implicit collusion where one firm follows another.
  • Predatory Pricing: Pricing strategies to eliminate competitors.
Philippine Context
  • Philippine Competition Act (RA No. 10667): A local version of antitrust regulations to limit market dominance.

Pricing with Market Power

Market power enables firms to influence prices, giving them opportunities to maximize profits through various pricing strategies. Unlike firms in competitive markets, where prices are determined by the market, companies with market power must strategically balance production, pricing, and consumer behavior.

Capturing Consumer Surplus

Consumer surplus refers to the difference between what consumers are willing to pay and what they actually pay. Firms with market power seek to convert as much of this surplus into profit. A single price may not be effective, as it leaves unrealized profits. Firms can improve profitability through price discrimination, charging different prices to different consumers based on their willingness to pay.

Price Discrimination

Price discrimination allows firms to capture a greater portion of consumer surplus. It can be categorized into three types:

  1. First-Degree Price Discrimination: This involves charging each consumer their maximum willingness to pay. Though challenging due to the need for extensive consumer data, it allows the firm to capture all potential profits.
  2. Second-Degree Price Discrimination: This method involves varying prices based on the quantity purchased, such as bulk discounts. Consumers purchasing higher quantities pay a lower per-unit price, enabling firms to cater to different consumption patterns.
  3. Third-Degree Price Discrimination: In this type, consumers are divided into distinct groups, each with its own price based on demand elasticity. For example, airlines charge business travelers more than vacationers because their demand is less elastic.
Two-Part Tariffs

A two-part tariff is another strategy where consumers pay an entry fee and additional charges per usage. Examples include amusement parks charging admission plus fees for rides. Firms must carefully set entry and usage fees to maximize profits, balancing the interests of both high-demand and low-demand consumers.

Bundling

Bundling combines multiple products into a package sold at a single price. This strategy is effective when consumer demands are negatively correlated, meaning those willing to pay more for one product may pay less for another. For example, a movie distributor may bundle a blockbuster with a lesser-known film to maximize revenue across theaters.

Advertising and Market Power

Firms with market power often invest in advertising to enhance brand value and demand. Optimal advertising spending ensures that the marginal profit generated from advertising equals the marginal cost, maximizing efficiency and profitability.

Peak-Load and Intertemporal Pricing
  1. Peak-Load Pricing: Prices are raised during peak demand periods, aligning prices with marginal costs to manage demand efficiently, as seen in electricity markets.
  2. Intertemporal Pricing: Prices start high and decrease over time to segment consumers based on their willingness to pay, commonly used in technology or book markets.
Conclusion

By employing these strategies, firms with market power can increase profits while managing demand and consumer behavior. However, these methods require a deep understanding of market dynamics and consumer preferences to strike the right balance between profitability and market share.